{"id":203,"date":"2025-08-02T14:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-02T07:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/?p=203"},"modified":"2025-08-02T14:00:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-02T07:00:09","slug":"imf-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2025-len-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/2025\/08\/02\/imf-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2025-len-3\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF N\u00e2ng D\u1ef1 B\u00e1o T\u0103ng Tr\u01b0\u1edfng Kinh T\u1ebf To\u00e0n C\u1ea7u N\u0103m 2025 L\u00ean 3%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ng\u00e0y 29 th\u00e1ng 7, Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025 l\u00ean 3%, t\u0103ng 0,2 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd do ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan cao c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111ang d\u1ea7n phai nh\u1ea1t, nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn trong n\u0103m 2025 v\u1eabn s\u1ebd th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c 3,3% d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn cho n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n<p>IMF \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng qu\u00fd. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4, sau khi M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a, IMF \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 0,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00fd do ch\u00ednh khi\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd bi quan gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a leo thang gi\u1eefa Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 100%, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt sau th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5. Thu\u1ebf su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u00e0 24,4% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 17,3%. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty c\u0169ng \u0111ang \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p linh ho\u1ea1t h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi thu\u1ebf quan, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf quan ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 10% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 mang l\u1ea1i cho c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i c\u00f3 n\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng gian ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neo gi\u00e1 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c, cho ph\u00e9p Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang M\u1ef9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c. IMF \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00eam 0,8 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00ean 4,8%.<\/p>\n<p>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 1,9%, t\u0103ng 0,1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. Do d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt &#8220;L\u1edbn, L\u1edbn, L\u1edbn&#8221; (OBBB) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7, IMF c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u0103m 2026 th\u00eam 0,3 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00ean 2,0%. IMF l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 kho\u1ea3ng 1,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u00ednh theo t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m GDP v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026, trong khi doanh thu thu\u1ebf quan ch\u1ec9 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2025, IMF \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n th\u00eam 0,1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00ean 0,7%. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng l\u00ean m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat. C\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 gi\u1eefa ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh trong \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>IMF tin r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n nay v\u1eabn c\u00f2n mong manh trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan m\u1edbi v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 1 th\u00e1ng 8. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n thu\u1ebf quan, ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ng\u00e0y 29 th\u00e1ng 7, Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u&#8230; <a class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/2025\/08\/02\/imf-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2025-len-3\/\">Read More <span>&raquo;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=203"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":204,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/203\/revisions\/204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}