Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o l\u00fac 12:01 tr\u01b0a. Gi\u1edd B\u1eafc Kinh ng\u00e0y 9 (00:01 s\u00e1ng Gi\u1edd mi\u1ec1n \u0110\u00f4ng ng\u00e0y 9). T\u1ed5ng thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00ean t\u1edbi 104%, l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng th\u00eam c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean. \u0110\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng, h\u01a1n 70 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ri\u00eang, nh\u01b0ng tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n
“Thu\u1ebf quan qua l\u1ea1i s\u1eafp c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o k\u00eau g\u1ecdi, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed5 chu\u00f4ng”, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng Levitt ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 8 th\u00e1ng 4.<\/p>\n
Sau khi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 10% v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 5 th\u00e1ng 4, thu\u1ebf quan s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 9 th\u00e1ng 4 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c nhau.<\/p>\n
Trump \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1edfi x\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng quy\u1ec1n h\u1ea1n kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng theo \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt Quy\u1ec1n h\u1ea1n Kinh t\u1ebf Kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IEEPA). Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p Hoa K\u1ef3, quy\u1ec1n \u00e1p thu\u1ebf ph\u1ea3i do Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Alexander Evans, m\u1ed9t lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 am hi\u1ec3u lu\u1eadt th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3, ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng: “Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1. C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan c\u00e0ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p c\u00e0ng cao”.<\/p>\n
Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh. V\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng r\u00fat l\u1ea1i thu\u1ebf quan tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y 8, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf b\u1ed5 sung 50% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u01a1 quan H\u1ea3i quan v\u00e0 B\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 (CBP) ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u00e0o t\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y 8 r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf b\u1ed5 sung 50% s\u1ebd c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 9.<\/p>\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 20% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 34% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 2 th\u00e1ng 4 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c 50% l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, t\u1ed5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd l\u00ean t\u1edbi 104%. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd “chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng” v\u00e0 \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n
“Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu Hoa K\u1ef3 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a d\u1eef d\u1ed9i h\u01a1n. Do \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 104% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c.” Khi Levitt nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn “104%” t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o, m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c leo thang chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n nhanh ch\u00f3ng chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb t\u0103ng sang gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n
C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump l\u00e0 \u201cth\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n sau\u201d. Ng\u00e0y 8\/4, Trump nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a m\u00e0 ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd \u0111ang “ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi” t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n Greer c\u1ee7a V\u0103n ph\u00f2ng \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 (USTR) cho bi\u1ebft t\u1ea1i phi\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 8 r\u1eb1ng thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i “s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng qu\u1ed1c gia”.<\/p>\n
Khi\u1ebfn b\u00ean kia ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9<\/p>\n
Trump tin r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, trong khi nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng Levitt ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9: “K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 2, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 70 qu\u1ed1c gia y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n”. Hoa K\u1ef3 hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i v\u00e0 x\u00f3a b\u1ecf thu\u1ebf quan cao v\u00e0 c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n phi thu\u1ebf quan.
\nM\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00fd m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u1eb1m x\u00f3a b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh. Vi\u1ec7t Nam, qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 46 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t x\u00f3a b\u1ecf to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n
Campuchia, qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan cao t\u1edbi 49%, \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1edbi Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 4 r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 19 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng, bao g\u1ed3m r\u01b0\u1ee3u whisky, t\u1eeb 35% xu\u1ed1ng 5%. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Greer cho bi\u1ebft: “H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a”.<\/p>\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, \u00f4 t\u00f4, s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m th\u00e9p v\u00e0 nh\u00f4m v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p 25% s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan t\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ed7. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u01b0 ch\u1ea5t b\u00e1n d\u1eabn v\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea9m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u00e1p thu\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh c\u0169ng b\u1ecb lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb.<\/p>\n
S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3?<\/p>\n
Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng thu\u1ebf quan cao ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t “c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 giao d\u1ecbch” v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng n\u00f3 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n
Trump hy v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9. Khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecfi li\u1ec7u Apple c\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t iPhone tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 hay kh\u00f4ng, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng Levitt cho bi\u1ebft: “T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng tin r\u1eb1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e0y”.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u00ean n\u00e0o chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra suy tho\u00e1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Thu\u1ebf quan kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 khi\u1ebfn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n
V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 3 th\u00e1ng 4, m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y sau khi Trump c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3, T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WTO) Okonjo-Iweala d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 1% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, gi\u1ea3m 4 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Trong m\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1, h\u1ecd cho bi\u1ebft: “Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 leo thang trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i”.<\/p>\n
Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c<\/p>\n
S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh trong \u201cch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n\u201d. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean t\u1ea7n su\u1ea5t xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1eeb kh\u00f3a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c h\u1ecdc gi\u1ea3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c 5.700 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3, g\u1ea7n g\u1ea5p ba l\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trump (th\u00e1ng 8 n\u0103m 2019).<\/p>\n
Michael Gapen, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Morgan Stanley c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: “Ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n ho\u1eb7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m chi ti\u00eau v\u00e0 tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng, g\u00e2y ra nguy c\u01a1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf”.<\/p>\n
Do tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng thu\u1ebf quan kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn, c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m.<\/p>\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n
Goldman Sachs \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng 1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i (PCE) c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 0,1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi tin r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t chung \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 1 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n
X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ea3y ra suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 60%.<\/p>\n
D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i, JPMorgan Chase \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, tin r\u1eb1ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra suy tho\u00e1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 40% l\u00ean 60%.<\/p>\n
Trong \u0111\u00f3, Hoa K\u1ef3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp trong qu\u00fd 3 v\u00e0 qu\u00fd 4 n\u0103m 2025, r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n
Canada c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bm\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m v\u00e0o qu\u00fd 2 n\u0103m 2025, trong khi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb qu\u00fd 2. Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kho\u1ea3ng 1%, nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan v\u1eabn c\u00f2n.<\/p>\n
Theo truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u suy tho\u00e1i, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u01b0 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (FRB) c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Jerome Powell cho bi\u1ebft \u00f4ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00ec thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n
N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang d\u1ea7n ch\u00ecm v\u00e0o v\u0169ng l\u1ea7y c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1ebf quan.<\/p>\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: Nikkei<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 \u0111i c\u00f3 l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o… Read More »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":136,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135\/revisions\/136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}