Li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3.500 \u0111\u00f4 la trong n\u0103m nay kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n
C\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong n\u0103m nay. Nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong n\u0103m nay l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 3.000 \u0111\u1ebfn 3.200 \u0111\u00f4 la, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n tin r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3.500 \u0111\u00f4 la trong n\u0103m nay. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ecdi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh phi\u1ebfn di\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n
V\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 3.000 USD\/ounce l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 trong n\u0103m nay. T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Macquarie c\u1ee7a \u00dac tin r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3.500 \u0111\u00f4 la trong n\u0103m nay. C\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y coi nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng mua v\u00e0o c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n
Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai t\u1ea1i New York (th\u00e1ng thanh to\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c nh\u1ea5t), m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c 3.000 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 13 th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh qua xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng (ETF).<\/p>\n
Trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn, nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong n\u0103m nay l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 3.000 – 3.200 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u quan \u0111i\u1ec3m cho r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n
Trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do ch\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh n\u00eau ra, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p nh\u01b0 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u00e9p v\u00e0 nh\u00f4m, v\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf \u00f4 t\u00f4 v\u00e0 thu\u1ebf quan t\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ed7 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n
Vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf \u1edf ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y. Tsutomu Kosuge, \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Japan MarketEdge, cho bi\u1ebft: “V\u00ec kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1ee7i ro xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb Hoa K\u1ef3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1eafm gi\u1eef tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4 la, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n, n\u00ean nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng”.<\/p>\n
Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng UBS c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 ch\u1ec9 ra v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 3: “Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o r\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gia t\u0103ng, nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n c\u0169ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean” v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m l\u00ean 3.200 \u0111\u00f4 la, t\u0103ng 200 \u0111\u00f4 la so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2, Goldman Sachs \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m t\u1eeb 2.890 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean 3.100 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft: “N\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 thu\u1ebf quan, v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t 3.300 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m”.<\/p>\n
V\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 3, Macquarie Group \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trung b\u00ecnh t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 3.150 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n n\u00e0o trong th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, “gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao m\u1edbi l\u00e0 3.500 \u0111\u00f4 la”.<\/p>\n
Hi\u1ec7n nay, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gia t\u0103ng. Xung quanh khu v\u1ef1c t\u1ef1 tr\u1ecb D\u1ea3i Gaza c\u1ee7a Palestine, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Israel m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Hamas, v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Hoa K\u1ef3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m v\u0169 trang Houthi th\u00e2n Iran \u1edf Yemen. Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine v\u1eabn c\u00f2n l\u00e2u m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n
BNP Paribas ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1eb1ng “c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u00ean m\u1ed9t t\u1ea7m cao m\u1edbi, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n”. C\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trung b\u00ecnh h\u00e0ng n\u0103m l\u00ean 2.990 \u0111\u00f4 la, cao h\u01a1n 215 \u0111\u00f4 la so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 3.100 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n
Kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf qua vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng mua v\u00e0ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i l\u00e0 1.000 t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m trong ba n\u0103m qua. Goldman Sachs d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng “gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng do nhu c\u1ea7u c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng”. UBS d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng “v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng mua v\u00e0o c\u1ee7a (ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 1.000 t\u1ea5n, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y”.<\/p>\n
Kosuge c\u1ee7a MarketEdge tin r\u1eb1ng: “Khi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c nh\u1eb9 nh\u00f5m v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ch\u01b0a s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111ang m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean l\u1ea1c quan h\u01a1n khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.”<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n
BNP Paribas b\u00e0y t\u1ecf quan \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng khi cho bi\u1ebft: “N\u1ebfu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gia t\u0103ng, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng th\u00eam trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m”. Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Itsuo Toyoshima ch\u1ec9 ra: “N\u1ebfu ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 r\u1ee7i ro thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi, s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd chuy\u1ec3n sang ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. N\u1ebfu k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 y\u1ebfu \u0111i, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o v\u00e0ng”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3.500 \u0111\u00f4 la trong n\u0103m nay kh\u00f4ng? C\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn tr\u00ean… Read More »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=129"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":130,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129\/revisions\/130"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}