{"id":125,"date":"2025-03-14T19:51:27","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T12:51:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/?p=125"},"modified":"2025-03-14T19:51:34","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T12:51:34","slug":"gia-vang-vuot-moc-3-000-do-la","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/2025\/03\/14\/gia-vang-vuot-moc-3-000-do-la\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c 3.000 \u0111\u00f4 la"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 3.000 USD\/ounce. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 th\u1ee9 ba k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, sau n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 v\u00e0 n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000. B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00e0 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ed1ng l\u0129nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang b\u1ecb lung lay. Khi ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 chia r\u1ebd, c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 n\u01a1i n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 trong m\u1ed9t n\u0103m, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 1.000 \u0111\u00f4 la<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai t\u1ea1i New York (th\u00e1ng thanh to\u00e1n s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ea5t), \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, t\u0103ng 54,7 \u0111\u00f4 la (1,9%) so v\u1edbi ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m tr\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00ean 3.001,5 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 13 th\u00e1ng 3. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 1.000 \u0111\u00f4 la ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00f2ng m\u1ed9t n\u0103m. So v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2000 (289,6 \u0111\u00f4 la), m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng n\u00e0y g\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 10 l\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ed3 trang tr\u00ed v\u00e0 t\u00f4n gi\u00e1o k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u1ec1n v\u0103n minh L\u01b0\u1ee1ng H\u00e0 v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 6000 tr\u01b0\u1edbc C\u00f4ng nguy\u00ean. Ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0ng ra \u0111\u1eddi sau \u0111\u00f3, nh\u01b0ng do v\u00e0ng qu\u00e1 khan hi\u1ebfm n\u00ean vi\u1ec7c l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0ng b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Anh n\u0103m 1816 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp “b\u1ea3n v\u1ecb v\u00e0ng” v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng l\u00e0 ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Nixon<\/p>\n

L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra cho \u0111\u1ebfn 100 n\u0103m sau. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Nixon n\u0103m 1971 khi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 ng\u1eebng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i v\u00e0ng sang \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9. Sau khi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, k\u1ebft th\u00fac, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 35 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1971, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 873 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1980.<\/p>\n

L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng th\u1ee9 hai x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000. C\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 bong b\u00f3ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin (IT) v\u1ee1 v\u00e0 v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 11 th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2001, \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng s\u1ee9c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t “lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 kh\u00f4ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ecbch”. Khi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Lehman Brothers n\u1ed5 ra \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2008, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1980, l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c 1.000 \u0111\u00f4 la.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (FRB) \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 xu\u1ed1ng 4,75% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2001. Khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m, v\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thu h\u00fat d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o. \u0110\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2004, khi c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng (ETF) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ni\u00eam y\u1ebft t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3, t\u00ednh thanh kho\u1ea3n t\u0103ng l\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1eb1ng sau n\u00f3<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111ang x\u1ea3y ra hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng th\u1ee9 ba. B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u1ecb chia c\u1eaft b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng. Nga, qu\u1ed1c gia x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022, \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn ra r\u1ee7i ro khi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00e1nh xa \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y. B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2022, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng mua v\u00e0o c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c l\u00e0 1.000 t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 v\u00e0 2000, h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m t\u1ea5n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng m\u1ed7i n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2010, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean trong 14 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. “Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u00edt b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng” do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

Sau khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m 2025, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch do T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Trump \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0ng. Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan m\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf l\u1edbn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ph\u00e1t sinh \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng \u0111ang l\u00e0m lung lay uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la.<\/p>\n

Ole Hansen, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Saxo Bank, m\u1ed9t t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0110an M\u1ea1ch, l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng “c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n do l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c v\u00e0 thu\u1ebf quan th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, do \u0111\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 thay th\u1ebf v\u00e0o v\u00e0ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean” v\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft “do \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 ‘n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 b\u1ecb b\u1ecf l\u1ee1'”.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Itsuo Toyoshima c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng “d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump, s\u1ef1 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng mua v\u00e0ng theo ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n trong gi\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c”.<\/p>\n

Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng mua h\u00e0ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng di\u1ec5n ra s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n c\u0169ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c mua v\u00e0ng, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, n\u01a1i ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n v\u0103n h\u00f3a \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng v\u00e0ng. T\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3 trang s\u1ee9c, th\u1ecfi v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n xu \u0111\u1ea1t 61,6 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024, t\u0103ng 30% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng t\u0103ng 10% l\u00ean 62,6 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

“\u0110\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2030, gi\u00e1 giao ngay s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t 4.821 \u0111\u00f4 la”, c\u00f4ng ty qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n Incrementum AG d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 17 th\u00e1ng 2, T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n Goldman Sachs c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bv\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2025 t\u1eeb 2.890 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 l\u00ean 3.100 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, v\u1edbi l\u00fd do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 ho\u00e0ng kim c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 3.000 USD\/ounce. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5… Read More »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=125"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":126,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125\/revisions\/126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}