\u300aInternational Business News\u300b\u00a0 –\u00a0 \u00a0\u6839\u636e VinaCapital \u7684\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8d8a\u5357\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u7684 GDP \u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u5305\u62ec\u653f\u5e9c\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u3001\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u590d\u82cf\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u5728\u5185\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u8be5\u56fd\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u5c06\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 6.5% \u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6295\u8d44\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u517c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1 Michael Kokalari \u5728\u300a\u5c55\u671b2025\u5e74\u300b\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u8d8a\u5357\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u4e8620%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u54c1\u589e\u957f\u4e8640%\uff0c\u8f832023\u5e7410%\u7684\u964d\u5e45\u663e\u8457\u590d\u82cf\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u5f02\u5e38\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9884\u8ba1\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u8f6f\u7740\u9646\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u539f\u56e0\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e93\u5b58\u8865\u5145\u5468\u671f\u6709\u5173\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u589e\u957f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5236\u6210\u54c1\u90fd\u9500\u5f80\u56fd\u5916\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b58\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f46 VinaCapital \u9884\u8ba1\u8d8a\u5357\u5c06\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0 6.5% \u7684 GDP \u589e\u957f\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u529b\u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u8f6c\u5411\u56fd\u5185\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u8d8a\u5357 2023 \u5e74\u548c 2024 \u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74\u5b9e\u9645\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a 6%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8d8a\u5357\u5178\u578b\u7684 8-9% \u589e\u957f\u7387\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u5916\u56fd\u6e38\u5ba2\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u4ece \u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u7684 70% \u6c34\u5e73\u6062\u590d\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u7684 100%\u3002<\/p>\n
VinaCapital \u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u5360\u8d8a\u5357\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684 60% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u8f7b\u677e\u5f25\u8865\u660e\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\/\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\/\u6e38\u5ba2\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8d8a\u5357\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u589e\u52a0\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bc4\u5e0c\u671b\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3e\u63aa\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u80fd\u8ba9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u66f4\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u589e\u52a0\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5360 GDP 6% \u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u652f\u51fa\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u632f\u8d8a\u5357\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u80e1\u5fd7\u660e\u5e02\u673a\u573a\u548c\u6cb3\u5185\u65b0\u73af\u8def\u7b49\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u5c06\u4f7f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u66f4\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8bb8\u591a\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u8d8a\u5357\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u4e0e\u201c\u8d22\u5bcc\u6548\u5e94\u201d\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86 2025 \u5e74 6.5-7% \u7684\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e76\u5e0c\u671b\u8fbe\u5230 7-7.5%\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u6700\u8fd1\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e86\u591a\u9879\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u589e\u52a0\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u652f\u51fa\u548c\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u5927\u6539\u9769\u3002<\/p>\n
VinaCapital \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u5177\u4f53\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u62b5\u6d88 2025 \u5e74 GDP \u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4ece\u4eca\u5e74\u7684 10% \u964d\u81f3\u660e\u5e74\u7684 6%\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f GDP \u589e\u957f\u51cf\u5c11\u7ea6 1 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u6e38\u5ba2\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u589e\u957f\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4ece\u4eca\u5e74\u7684 40% \u964d\u81f3\u660e\u5e74\u7684 15%\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f GDP \u589e\u957f\u51cf\u5c11\u8d85\u8fc7 1.5 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n
\u653f\u5e9c\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u52a0\u5927\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u652f\u6301 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u5f3a\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u957f\u671f\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n
2025 \u5e74\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u4e9b\u52a8\u8361\u30022025 \u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u8d8a\u5357\u7684 GDP \u589e\u957f\u9020\u6210\u6bd4\u8bb8\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0b\u6ed1\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u79ef\u6781\u884c\u52a8\u6765\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230 GDP \u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u3002Kokalari \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f 2025 \u5e74\u521d\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u5e95\u5f3a\u52b2\u52a0\u901f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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