{"id":57010,"date":"2024-12-15T21:02:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-15T13:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/?p=57010"},"modified":"2024-12-15T21:02:02","modified_gmt":"2024-12-15T13:02:02","slug":"oecd%e5%af%b9%e6%99%ba%e5%88%a92024%e5%b9%b4%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/12\/15\/57010.html","title":{"rendered":"OECD\u5bf9\u667a\u52292024\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f 2.4%\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7565\u5fae\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 2.3%\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u4e3a 2.1%\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u9010\u6b65\u590d\u82cf\u3001\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u6761\u4ef6\u653e\u677e\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u7a33\u5065\u589e\u957f\u4ee5\u53ca\u77ff\u4ea7\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u5916\u90e8\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u7a33\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5230 2026 \u5e74\u521d\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1 3% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u7a33\u5065\u5bbd\u677e\u3002\u65b0\u7684\u91c7\u77ff\u7279\u8bb8\u6743\u4f7f\u7528\u8d39\u548c\u6539\u5584\u7a0e\u6536\u7684\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u800c\u652f\u51fa\u5c06\u9075\u5faa\u8d22\u653f\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u7f29\u5c0f\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u5e76\u4f7f\u503a\u52a1\u4fdd\u6301\u53ef\u63a7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u652f\u51fa\u538b\u529b\u9700\u8981\u589e\u52a0\u7a0e\u6536\u548c\u63d0\u9ad8\u652f\u51fa\u6548\u7387\u3002\u7cbe\u7b80\u76d1\u7ba1\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u521b\u4e1a\u3001\u5438\u5f15\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u589e\u5f3a\u4f4e\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\u3002\u57f9\u8bad\u8ba1\u5212\u5e94\u4e0e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u6280\u80fd\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u652f\u6491\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u590d\u82cf<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u4ea7\u51fa\u589e\u957f 0.7%\uff08\u7ecf\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u8c03\u6574\uff09\uff0c\u53d7\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u673a\u68b0\u8bbe\u5907\u6295\u8d44\uff09\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u3001\u4e2a\u4eba\u670d\u52a1\u548c\u8fd0\u8f93\u4e1a\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u591a\u9879\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u9664\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u5916\uff0c\u5546\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u505c\u6ede\u3002\u81ea 3 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u6709\u6240\u52a0\u5f3a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u7535\u4ef7\u89e3\u51bb\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c10 \u6708\u8fbe\u5230 4.7%\u30022024 \u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u90fd\u5728\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3a\u5347\u7ea7\u673a\u68b0\u8bbe\u5907\u800c\u51fa\u53f0\u7684\u65b0\u73b0\u91d1\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u5c06\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u77ff\u4ea7\u51fa\u53e3\u3002\u94dc\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u672a\u80fd\u6ee1\u8db3\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5230 2025-26 \u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u9502\u4ef7\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u5230\u524d\u51e0\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u6574\u987f\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u7535\u4ef7\u89e3\u51bb\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u5e95\u548c 2025 \u5e74\u521d\u6682\u65f6\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u538b\u529b\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8c03\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u5e95\u8fbe\u5230\u4e2d\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u540d\u4e49\u5229\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 4.3%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u5c06\u4ece 2024 \u5e74\u5360 GDP \u7684 2.3% \u7f29\u5c0f\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u7684 1.3%\uff0c\u518d\u5230 2026 \u5e74\u7684 1.0%\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u77ff\u4ea7\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u94dc\u4ef7\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u65b0\u7684\u94dc\u77ff\u5f00\u91c7\u7279\u8bb8\u6743\u4f7f\u7528\u8d39\u548c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7a0e\u6536\u9075\u4ece\u7684\u65b0\u6cd5\u5f8b\uff0c\u5c06\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u652f\u6301\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4f4e\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u652f\u51fa\u5c06\u9075\u5b88\u8d22\u653f\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u52a1\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 45% \u7684\u503a\u52a1\u4e0a\u9650\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5065<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f 2.4%\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u589e\u957f 2.3%\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u589e\u957f 2.1%\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u677e\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6301\u6d88\u8d39\u3002\u7535\u6c14\u5316\u6240\u9700\u77ff\u4ea7\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u652f\u6491\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u4fc3\u8fdb\u77ff\u4e1a\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u590d\u82cf\u30022025-26 \u5e74\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u538b\u529b\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u548c\u9884\u671f\u5f97\u5230\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u521d\u8fbe\u5230\u592e\u884c 3% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u524d\u666f\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u788d\u5bf9\u77ff\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u635f\u5bb3\u667a\u5229\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u589e\u957f\u3002\u653f\u6cbb\u50f5\u5c40\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a8\u8fdf\u652f\u6301\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6539\u9769\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u800c\u65b0\u7684\u517b\u8001\u57fa\u91d1\u63d0\u53d6\u5c06\u524a\u5f31\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u4ece\u597d\u7684\u65b9\u9762\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7eff\u8272\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u52a0\u5feb\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u5916\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7b80\u5316\u76d1\u7ba1\u548c\u6539\u5584\u57f9\u8bad\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u589e\u957f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6301\u7eed\u6539\u9769\u4ee5\u7b80\u5316\u76d1\u7ba1\u6d41\u7a0b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u523a\u6fc0\u521b\u4e1a\u548c\u5438\u5f15\u6295\u8d44\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u4e0e\u7eff\u8272\u8f6c\u578b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u66f4\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u5236\u5ea6\u548c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u7ba1\u7406\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4fc3\u8fdb\u589e\u957f\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u786e\u4fdd\u6240\u6709\u5de5\u4eba\u4eab\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u6b63\u89c4\u5c31\u4e1a\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u975e\u6b63\u89c4\u6027\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u901a\u4fe1\u6280\u672f\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5de5\u4eba\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u4e0e\u4f01\u4e1a\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f7f\u804c\u4e1a\u548c\u5927\u5b66\u8bfe\u7a0b\u4e0e\u5f53\u524d\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u9700\u6c42\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u52a0\u5f3a\u804c\u4e1a\u6307\u5bfc\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u6280\u80fd\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5973\u6027\u8fdb\u5165\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8fdb\u5165\u9ad8\u85aa\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u6027\u522b\u5e73\u7b49\u5e76\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6f5c\u5728\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f 2.4%\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7565\u5fae\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 2.3%\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u4e3a 2.1%\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u9010\u6b65\u590d\u82cf\u3001\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u6761\u4ef6\u653e\u677e\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u7a33\u5065\u589e\u957f\u4ee5 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/12\/15\/57010.html\" title=\"OECD\u5bf9\u667a\u52292024\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1150],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-57010","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-latin-america"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/50"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57010"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57011,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57010\/revisions\/57011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}