{"id":56944,"date":"2024-12-14T16:53:03","date_gmt":"2024-12-14T08:53:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/?p=56944"},"modified":"2024-12-14T16:53:03","modified_gmt":"2024-12-14T08:53:03","slug":"oecd%e5%af%b9%e7%a7%98%e9%b2%812024%e5%b9%b4%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/12\/14\/56944.html","title":{"rendered":"OECD\u5bf9\u79d8\u9c812024\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74 GDP \u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a 3.1%\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u964d\u81f3 2.8%\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u964d\u81f3 2.6%\u3002\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u7531\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u53d7\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u63d0\u53d6\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9884\u8ba1\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u6e29\u548c\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u4f46\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6291\u5236\u5176\u6b65\u4f10\u3002\u51fa\u53e3\u5c06\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u592e\u884c 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u91cd\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u81f3 2025 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4fdd\u6301\u5229\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86 2024 \u5e74\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6536\u5165\u77ed\u7f3a\u548c\u652f\u51fa\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u8d64\u5b57\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u8d22\u653f\u89c4\u5219\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u8ba1\u5212\u5728 2025-26 \u5e74\u51cf\u5c11\u8d64\u5b57\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u8d22\u653f\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u521b\u9020\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u6295\u8d44\u6240\u9700\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u6548\u7387\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u6536\u5165\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u5f3a\u52b2\u53cd\u5f39<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86 2023 \u5e74\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u52a8\u8361\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u76f8\u5173\u5e72\u6270\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c2024 \u5e74\u524d\u4e09\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0cGDP \u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f 3%\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u3002\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u548c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u3002\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u516c\u5171\u90e8\u95e8\u5de5\u8d44\u5355\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u56de\u5347\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u9010\u6b65\u653e\u677e\u652f\u6301\u4e86\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u5929\u6c14\u6761\u4ef6\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5e38\u4f7f\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u6e14\u4e1a\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u7403\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u94dc\u4ef7\u9ad8\u4f01\u5219\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u81ea 2024 \u5e74 5 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728\u592e\u884c 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u3002\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u867d\u7136\u66f4\u5177\u6301\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u5728 10 \u6708\u4efd\u964d\u81f3 2.5%\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u670d\u52a1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u66f4\u4e3a\u575a\u633a\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u5de5\u8d44\u6bd4 2019 \u5e74\u4f4e 5%\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6700\u8fd1\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc7 2023 \u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u53c2\u4e0e\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u7565\u6709\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u975e\u6b63\u89c4\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5360\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u7684 70% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u83b7\u5f97\u6b63\u89c4\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u548c\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u516c\u5171\u503a\u52a1\u4e3a\u62b5\u5fa1\u6f5c\u5728\u51b2\u51fb\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9700\u8981\u8d22\u653f\u6574\u987f\u624d\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0 2025-2026 \u5e74\u7684\u8d64\u5b57\u76ee\u6807<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u5047\u8bbe 2024 \u5e74\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u6269\u5f20\u6027\u8d22\u653f\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6536\u5165\u77ed\u7f3a\u548c\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7 GDP 2.8% \u7684\u8d22\u653f\u76ee\u6807\u30022025-2026 \u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u8fdb\u884c\u8d22\u653f\u6574\u987f\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u5c06\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u51cf\u5c11\u5230 GDP \u7684 2.2%\uff0c\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u51cf\u5c11\u5230 1.8%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u8d64\u5b57\u76ee\u6807\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u9700\u8981\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u5f00\u652f\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9e\u73b0\u8bc9\u8bbc\u8ffd\u507f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6536\u5165\u3002\u989d\u5916\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b\u6765\u81ea\u8d44\u91d1\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u6539\u9769\u548c\u5bf9\u56fd\u6709\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8 Petroper\u00fa \u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u9009\u4e3e\u4e4b\u524d\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u652f\u51fa\u5e76\u63a7\u5236\u7ecf\u5e38\u6027\u652f\u51fa\u53ef\u4ee5\u589e\u5f3a\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u9075\u5b88\u8d22\u653f\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5c06\u516c\u5171\u503a\u52a1\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 30% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u81ea 2023 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u5c06\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86 275 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd8\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u521d\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 4.5%\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u6709\u671b\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0b\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>GDP \u589e\u957f\u5c06\u653e\u7f13<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u53cd\u5f39\u81f3 3.1% \u4e4b\u540e\uff0cGDP \u589e\u957f\u5c06\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 2.8%\uff0c\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 2.6%\u3002\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u788d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fbe\u5230\u6700\u5927\u4ea7\u80fd\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 2% \u7684\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u5c06\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u590d\u82cf\u548c 3 \u6708\u4efd\u6279\u51c6\u7684\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u63d0\u53d6\u3002\u5546\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u589e\u5f3a\u5c06\u652f\u6301\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c06\u4f7f\u5176\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u6574\u987f\u5c06\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u548c 2026 \u5e74\u5236\u7ea6\u653f\u5e9c\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u516c\u5171\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u524d\u666f\u5b58\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5728 2026 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class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u9884\u8ba1 2024 \u5e74 GDP \u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a 3.1%\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u964d\u81f3 2.8%\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u964d\u81f3 2.6%\u3002\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u7531\u79c1\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u53d7\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u63d0 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/12\/14\/56944.html\" 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