{"id":55452,"date":"2024-11-27T16:39:56","date_gmt":"2024-11-27T08:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/?p=55452"},"modified":"2024-11-27T16:40:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-27T08:40:05","slug":"%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e6%9b%b4%e5%a4%a7%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e6%8f%90%e6%a1%88%e5%b0%86%e4%bd%bf%e6%99%ae%e9%80%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e5%ba%ad%e6%af%8f%e5%b9%b4%e6%8d%9f%e5%a4%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/11\/27\/55452.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u6848\u5c06\u4f7f\u666e\u901a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u6bcf\u5e74\u635f\u5931\u8d85\u8fc72,600\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\uff0c\u524d\u603b\u7edfDonald Trump\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f81\u6536\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5728\u672c\u7ade\u9009\u5b63\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7b80\u62a5Clausing and Lovely \uff082024 \u5e74\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5206\u6790\u4e86Trump\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u6848\u7684\u8bf8\u591a\u5f0a\u7aef\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 60% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u4ece\u5176\u4ed6\u6240\u6709\u5730\u65b9\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 10% \u7684\u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e\u3002Trump\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u58f0\u660e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5bf9\u5927\u591a\u6570\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536\u9ad8\u8fbe 20% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f81\u6536 20% \u7684\u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e\u52a0\u4e0a 60% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5c06\u4f7f\u6536\u5165\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684\u5178\u578b\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u6bcf\u5e74\u635f\u5931\u8d85\u8fc7 2,600 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8fd9\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684 1,700 \u7f8e\u5143\u7a0e\u540e\u6536\u5165\u635f\u5931\u8fd8\u8981\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u535a\u5ba2\u6587\u7ae0 Clausing and Obstfeld (2024) \u5206\u6790\u4e86Trump\u65e9\u5148\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5efa\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4ed6\u7528\u5173\u7a0e\u6536\u5165\u53d6\u4ee3\u8054\u90a6\u6240\u5f97\u7a0e\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff08\u7b80\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6784\u6210\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u8fd8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7a0e\u6536\u8d1f\u62c5\u4ece\u5bcc\u88d5\u7eb3\u7a0e\u4eba\u5927\u91cf\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002\u6839\u636e Clausing \u548c Lovely (2024) \u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f20 PIIE \u56fe\u8868\u663e\u793a\u4e86Trump\u63d0\u8bae\u7684\u51cf\u7a0e\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u6309\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u5206\u7ec4\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u51c0\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8003\u5bdf\u4e86 20% \u7684\u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u8bae\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u6240\u6709\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u90fd\u56e0\u5982\u6b64\u9ad8\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u800c\u635f\u5931\u4e86\u51c0\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u4e14\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u5e95\u5c42\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u635f\u5931\u6700\u5927\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u7a0e\u540e\u6536\u5165\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u7ea6 4.1%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7 2,600 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6700\u5bcc\u6709\u7684 1% \u7684\u4eba\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5c06\u51c0\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u56e0\u5173\u7a0e\u800c\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u635f\u5931\u88abTrump\u63d0\u8bae\u7684\u51cf\u7a0e\u6240\u62b5\u6d88\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\uff0c\u524d\u603b\u7edfDonald Trump\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f81\u6536\u6bd4\u4ed6\u5728\u672c\u7ade\u9009\u5b63\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7b80\u62a5Clausing and Lo […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1149,72],"tags":[1181],"class_list":{"0":"post-55452","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-north-america","7":"category-trading","8":"tag-tariff"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55452","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/50"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55452"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55452\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55456,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55452\/revisions\/55456"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}