{"id":54524,"date":"2024-11-21T08:54:58","date_gmt":"2024-11-21T00:54:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/?p=54524"},"modified":"2024-11-21T08:54:58","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T00:54:58","slug":"%e6%91%a9%e6%a0%b9%e5%a3%ab%e4%b8%b9%e5%88%a9%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e5%b0%86%e5%9c%a82026%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/11\/21\/54524.html","title":{"rendered":"\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u201c\u5927\u5e45\u201d\u6291\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u9996\u5e2d\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Seth Carpenter\u8868\u793a\uff0cDonald Trump\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd 2026 \u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edfTrump\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u6253\u7b97\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 10% \u81f3 20% \u7684\u7edf\u4e00\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bf9\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 60% \u81f3 100% \u7684\u989d\u5916\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5728 9 \u6708\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u4ece\u7ade\u4e89\u56fd\u5bb6\u83b7\u53d6\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u624b\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u4f55\u65f6\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002Carpenter\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u5e74\u5ea6\u4e9a\u592a\u5cf0\u4f1a\u95f4\u9699\u544a\u8bc9 CNBC \u7684 Sri Jegarajah\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u201c\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u51b2\u51fb\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Carpenter\u575a\u6301\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5373\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u5206\u644a\u5230 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5230 2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5bf9\u88ab\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u201dCarpenter\u8865\u5145\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7ecf\u7eaa\u516c\u53f8 Siebert \u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u4fe1\u606f\u5b98Mark Malek\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5f81\u6536\u62df\u8bae\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728Joe Biden\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f81\u6536\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6c7d\u8f66\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u7535\u5b50\u3001\u673a\u68b0\u3001\u5efa\u7b51\u548c\u96f6\u552e\u4e1a\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u884c\u4e1a\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Malek\u8868\u793a\uff0cTrump\u63d0\u8bae\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 60% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caBiden\u76ee\u524d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u7684\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u5f81\u6536 100% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5c06\u201c\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\u6c7d\u8f66\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fdb\u53e3\u5f81\u6536 10% \u7684\u666e\u904d\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u3001\u5fae\u8f6f\u548c\u82f9\u679c\u7b49\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6210\u672c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7ed9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd 10 \u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8 2.6%\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e 9 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 2.4%\uff0c\u4f46\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5df2\u6709\u6240\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5e76\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>FedWatch Advisors \u9996\u5e2d\u6295\u8d44\u5b98\u517c\u521b\u59cb\u4ebaBen Emons \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u65bd\u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u9664 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u964d\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u5173\u7a0e\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u201c\u6291\u5236\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u9996\u5e2d\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Seth Carpenter\u8868\u793a\uff0cDonald Trump\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd 2026 \u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002 \u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edfTrump\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/2024\/11\/21\/54524.html\" title=\"\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u201c\u5927\u5e45\u201d\u6291\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1149,1157],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-54524","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-north-america","7":"category-economy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/50"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54524"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54525,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54524\/revisions\/54525"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ibnews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}